Duties on imports from dozens of countries would jump if the 90-day pause imposed in April expires July 9 as scheduled.

Europe could be at center stage as the Trump administration’s tariffs upend the global trading system, slashing Chinese imports to the U.S., a report from the McKinsey Global Institute finds. President Trump’s aggressive trade policy has sparked concerns about a recession and a painful unwinding of the globalization of recent decades that had expanded profit margins and kept prices low.